AIM OF STUDYThe aim of this study is to carry out an exploratory analysis of the most recent 3-year Lincolnshire police dataset with its geospatial data and perform a deep learning predictive analysis on the dataset in order forecast crimes in crime demographic hot spots over a 12-month period in the future. So that the Lincolnshire police department can take proactive measures to curb crime.OBJECTIVES1. To discuss some existing machine learning algorithms researchers use to forecast crimes.2. Use python programming language to perform exploratory analysis of the police dataset gotten from an open source at https://data.police.uk/data/3. Clean the data and prepare it for further analysis4. Perform geospatial analysis and visualizations of crime hotspots5. Perform deep learning predictive analysis to understand the trends and predict future crimes over a 12-month period based on past historical data. This 12-month period will include daily crime predictions for 1 month and weekly crime predictions for 10 weeks.6. Give recommendations to the Lincolnshire police department to improve policing based on results gotten from the analysis. RESEARCH METHODOLOGYThe data that will be used for this analysis is an open source crime data of Lincolnshire from July 2019 to June 2022 gotten from https://data.police.uk/data/. The data will be pre-processed and cleaned to remove noise. Trends will be observed from the data and useful information will be gleaned from the data. Geospatial analysis of the data will be done to visualise the data and identify at risk areas and crime hotspots. Deep learning predictive analysis will be carried out to predict crime over a 12-month period. Within this 12-month period, crimes for 1 month will be predicted daily and weekly crimes for 10 weeks will also be predicted. This study will be done with python using google colab. The python notebook will also be submitted.CONCLUSIONThis project will perform a semi-supervised machine learning to predict crimes in Lincolnshire using deep learning and geospatial analysis and will identify geographical areas Lincolnshire police force needs to be proactive in fighting crime as well as offer valid recommendations.
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